TCFD disclosures

Likelihood, velocity and materiality assessment of CRO scores

Risk type and nature of impact

Planning horizon to address CRO

Likelihood

Velocity

Financial materiality

1 NAQ – Not assessed quantitatively. Suitable parameter not identified for quantitative assessment and analysis was carried out using qualitative assessment of velocity and likelihood.

Customer pressure

Change in customer expectations regarding the Group’s climate action leading to a decrease in sales negatively affecting revenues.

Medium term (5–10 years)

3

2

NAQ1

New regulations

Introduction of carbon taxes in the Group’s operating markets adversely impacting profitability.

Medium term

1

3

2

New regulations

Lack of a credible action on climate change could result in increased stakeholder advocacy negatively impacting our operations and, in turn, revenues.

Medium term

2

2

NAQ

New regulations

Increase in energy prices for use in logistics, own sites and leased assets in the event carbon taxes are imposed leading to an increase in cost.

Medium term

2

3

4

Shareholder/stakeholder advocacy

Increasing requirements for mandatory disclosures of climate performance and climate risks with possible inaction leading to negative sentiments from customers, suppliers and lenders leading to decreased revenues and/or increased cost.

Short term (3 years)

3

2

NAQ

Reputation

Damage to brand reputation arising from a perceived lack of action on climate initiatives.

Short term

2

2

NAQ

Likelihood, velocity and materiality assessment of CRO scores

Risk type and nature of impact

Planning horizon to address CRO

Likelihood

Velocity

Financial materiality

Flooding

Increase in frequency and severity of flooding attributed to rising sea level and/or increases in rainfall could damage our infrastructure, such as data centres, office buildings and tower sites.

Long term (10+ years)

4

3

4

Extreme weather events

Increase in frequency and severity of extreme weather events, such as tropical storms, cyclones and typhoons, could result in damage to our infrastructure.

Long term

4

3

1

Heat

Increase in temperatures and the duration of high temperatures may result in increased cooling requirements for data centres and, consequently, increased operating costs in some of our markets.

Long term

4

3

1

Business disruptions

Loss of revenue and productivity due to business disruptions attributed to climate-related physical events, such as cyclones, coastal and river flooding.

Long term

3

3

5

Likelihood, velocity and materiality assessment of CRO scores

Risk type and nature of impact

Planning horizon to address CRO

Likelihood

Velocity

Financial materiality

Enhanced market valuation

Improved ESG performance will have a positive effect on share price performance and investors' perception.

Short term

2

2

NAQ

Access to capital

Increased access to, and lower cost of, sustainable financing options.

Short term

2

2

1

Cost efficiency

Adopting renewable energy sources, such as solar and other environmentally friendly solutions, will enhance business processes.

Medium term

4

3

1

Reputation

Improved company reputation will help us to attract and retain customers and employees, reducing customer acquisition and HR-related costs.

Medium term

2

2

NAQ

Assessment of CRO

Financial thresholds

Level

Score

Threshold

Period

Likelihood

  • Score based on the consistency of outcome when comparing current policy scenarios with transition scenarios (or high temperature scenarios for physical risks).
  • The more closely aligned the outcomes on a directional basis, the higher the likelihood score.
Very high 4 25%
High 3 50%
Medium 2 100%
Low 1

Velocity

  • Score based on the speed of development of external root causes that drive the CRO as assessed under the transition scenarios (or high-temperature scenarios for physical risks).
  • The speed at which a CRO is evolving and changing as compared to the baseline is also taken into account (e.g., higher the speed, higher the score).
Short term 4 1–5 years
Medium term 2 5–10 years
Long term 1 10+ years

Financial materiality

  • Score is based on the estimated negative impact to revenues or costs for risks and positive impact to revenues or costs for opportunities.
  • Financial impact calculations are performed with the aim of providing a scale of the materiality of each assessed CRO, for the purpose of focusing on the most relevant and important ones.
  • These initial estimates do not represent an exact prediction of the impact of the CROs but rather an order of magnitude to facilitate prioritisation.

<$10m

1
$10m–$20m 2
$20m–$30m 3
$30m–$50m 4
$50m–$100m 5
$100m–$300m 6
$300m–$400m 7
$400m–$450m 8
$450m–$500m 9

>$500m

10

Metrics

Measure

Scope 1 emissions

tCO2e

Scope 2 emissions

tCO2e

Scope 3 emissions

tCO2e

Total energy consumption kWh

* Scope 3 emissions for 2024/25 will be published with a lag of one year

** During the year, the methodology for calculating energy consumption was revised from the previously reported 244,458,353 KWh. For further detail, see 'Our journey towards a net zero future' on our website at www.airtel.africa

Measure

2021/22

(baseline)

2023/24

2024/25

(current year)

Scope 1 emissions

tCO2e

65,180

82,871

89,869

Scope 2 emissions

tCO2e

50,539

45,632

44,151

Total scope 1 and 2 emissions

tCO2e

115,719

128,503

134,021

Scope 3 emissions

tCO2e

792,336

891,182

n/a*

Total

tCO2e

908,055

1,019,685

Energy consumption KWh

123,597,014

434,373,723**

448,050,273